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Source/Type:
CompoundSemi Online -- Compound Semiconductor Supply Chain News - Editorials
Are USA Government Contracts in Jeopardy?
Author: Jo Ann McDonald, founding editor
May 6, 2008... There appears to be a great deal
of uplifting news lately from all over the world about new R&D contracts
being let to compound semi industry researchers. Many of the contracts are for
our industry's wonderful energy-saving technologies, and many come from confident,
forward-looking governments. In contrast, in the USA, we're seeing the first
disturbing signs of the USA government pulling back on what were presumed to be
established, secure R&D contracts.
When a relatively young, small, R&D-based
compound semi industry company quietly files for bankruptcy and someone sends
me an email with the local article stating the situation, a little alarm goes
off in this industry historian's head. What's at the heart of the problem? Did
some scoundrel from a foreign land renege on financing again? Was the startup
poorly managed? In this case the blame is being put on the USA government citing
the fact that "the military has scaled back research programs in order
to spend more on the war effort." After reading that, the little alarm
in my head instantly grew. As an industry commentator and veteran advanced technology
journalist, I feel a heads up to our readers is in order.
The company that filed for Chapter
7 bankruptcy in the USA state of Pennsylvania is three year old Caracal
Inc., headquarted in Ford City. The company is in the silicon carbide (SiC)
business and made its claim to fame via a lucrative Navy contract worth over
$1 million to supply SiC-based semiconductors for use in what was to be an all-electric
powered warship. News of the bankruptcy filing was in the Tribune Review,
Wednesday edition, April 23, 2008. (Link
to article) It noted that the Navy was 90% of Caracal's customer base, which
doesn't surprise me at all. Unfortunately, most startups chasing after government
funding put all their eggs in one basket, and most hatch rather well, providing
the USA is in a pro-R&D funding mode.
Looking back, whenever the USA goes
into anti-funding mode due to some perceived priority or another, I visualize
major government CS industry R&D advocates at the various funding agencies standing before their
beleaguered program managers and asking: "Which puppies shall we drown
today?" Government program managers hate losing funding for their programs,
especially when they've already been allocated the funds and assured the contractors that the funding is secure and the program will surely
go ahead. The only thing they hate worse is having to tell their contractors
that they won't be renewing.
Caracal is evidently now a casualty
of war, according to defense policy analyst John E. Pike, director of GlobalSecurity.org
in Alexandria, Virginia who was quoted in the Tribune Review article that "the
all-electric ship project 'comes and goes,'shifting in priority on the Navy
budget," noting also that... "Anything related to shipbuilding is
going to be in a really tight space these days and that research and development
spending in general is flat."
According to a follow-up
Trib article, Caracal plans to liquidate its assets. That article notes
that "the borough" that encompasses Ford City and the Caracal plant
is extremely concerned about the impact the bankruptcy will have on the community
since Caracal pays the town about $228,000 in rent each year under its lease,
which the borough uses to pay off debt service on the industrial development
project. The local hope is that some entity will step in that is able to utilize
the infrastructure as well as the skilled labor.
After over 30 years advising semiconductor
startups how best to succeed, I have to confess that I can't guarantee success.
I can, however, identify signs of possible failure. One blatant sign of potential
trouble is when the startup instantly goes out and buys fancy furniture to impress
would-be customers (and themselves). The next is to get themselves willfully
into patent litigation, which eventually transfers their precious venture funding
into the pockets of patent attorneys. The next obvious mistake is to put total
faith in an ever fickle USA government.
I remember when diamond technology
was the brief rage. The naïve went hell-bent for diamond-based ICs. Dream
on. We couldn't even make a good GaAs IC back then! The sensible dabblers in
diamond balanced their offerings with diamond heat sinks, and by the time diamonds
were declared dead... mostly by the government... the sensible dabblers were
already into other products, many of which were destined for commercial applications.
I feel genuinely bad for Caracal,
but they definitely have assets worth note. Plus, Caracal has good contacts within
the tight-knit wide bandgap circle. They have good IP, as proven by cross-licenses already
with Cree and cooperation deals with Kyma, so one alternative could be to meld their assets with someone stronger. Heck, we've been predicting consolidation among
WBG players anyway. But the main message I'd like to get across is to not fall into the trap of
putting such a large percentage of your business in just one place, especially if
it's a proven fickle place. Think commercial apps from the outset. Avoid known
traps. Stay smart and focused, but also spread your bets. That way you're more likely to be a cat that lands on your feet when a lucrative funding
source suddenly dries up.
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